Weather | 3–11°C (37–52°F), dry and crisp | 6–15°C (43–59°F), cooler mornings, milder afternoons | 11–20°C (52–68°F), softer evenings, steadier spring feel |
Crowds | Low to moderate, with holiday spikes | Low early month, high late month, especially from March 27 | High in the first half during peak hanami, moderate later |
Atmosphere | Plum season, clear skies, winter pace | Spring starts to show, parks wake up, sakura anticipation builds | Picnic season, full hanami mood, longer outdoor evenings |
Key events | Setsubun, plum blossom festivals, Emperor's Birthday | Ueno Sakura Matsuri, Vernal Equinox Day, AnimeJapan, Jindai-ji Daruma Market | Peak cherry blossoms, late-blooming yaezakura, wisteria season starts |
Public holidays | February 11, February 23 | March 20 | April 29 |
Budget | Good hotel value outside holidays | First half reasonable; last 10 days rise sharply | First half expensive, especially near top blossom spots |
Best for | Quiet city breaks, plum blossoms, clear Fuji views | Early spring, first sakura, mixed indoor-outdoor days | Full blossom trips, park picnics, classic spring photos |
Book early? | Usually 2–4 weeks is enough | Yes for late March hotels, blossom-adjacent stays, sunset decks | Yes, often months ahead for central stays |
Transport tips | Smoothest month for rail travel | Expect fuller trains near Ueno, Asakusa, and Nakameguro late month | Blossom hotspots stay crowded through midday and early evening |